For years, media headlines have depicted a dire situation regarding global bee populations. While it is true that honey bee numbers in certain areas, especially in North America and Europe, have plummeted due to habitat loss, pesticide use, and climate change, recent data reveals a more nuanced picture. In fact, bee populations in some Asian countries have been steadily increasing. This contrasting trend prompts important questions: why are bees flourishing in some regions while facing challenges in others?

When we examine global trends, we can observe a promising rise in the number of bee stocks. But is it as straightforward as it appears?

A Tale of Two Trends: The Rise and Fall of Bee Populations

Trend of managed beehives over years by continent.
This graph shows the growth of managed beehives across different continents. Asia leads with the highest number of beehives, experiencing a significant rise since 1990. Data: FAOstat. Graph: Madina Tussupova.

By diving deeper and categorizing the data, we can identify conflicting trends. A comparison between North America and Asia highlights these differences.

North America: A Decline in Numbers

Trends of managed beehives in North America.
This graph shows the number of managed beehives in Canada, Mexico and the United States. The U.S. has experienced a decline in beehives since the 1960s, while Mexico saw fluctuations and global recovery. Canada has shown a slow but steady increase over the years. Data: FAOstat. Graph: Madina Tussupova.

In the United States, bee populations have encountered significant obstacles in recent decades. Data shows that honeybee colonies have been on the decline since the 1960s. The primary causes include habitat destruction, pesticide exposure, climate change, diseases, and parasites.

Asia’s Growing Bee Populations: A Different Story

Trend of managed beehives in Asia.
This graph illustrates the number of managed beehives in China, India, Iran, South Korea and Turkey. India and China have shown significant growth. Turkey and Iran have also experienced steady increases, while South Korea’s growth has been more gradual. Data: FAOstat. Graph: Madina Tussupova.

In contrast to the declines observed in the West, some Asian countries have experienced stable or even growing bee populations. Several factors contribute to this positive trend: a diverse natural landscape, a mild climate, a long-standing tradition of beekeeping, and the rise of commercial beekeeping. For instance, China, the world’s largest honey producer, has significantly boosted its managed honeybee populations to satisfy global demand, compensating for the declines in wild bee populations.

Predicting the Future of Bee Populations

The future of global bee populations is uncertain, but there is hope. The following projection outlines potential trends for bee populations over the next decade across various continents.

Prediction of the number of managed beehives across continents (2025-2034).
The forecast shows a decline in the number of managed beehives in North America, while other continents such as Asia, Europe and Africa are expected to see a steady increase. Data: FAOstat. Graph: Madina Tussupova.

Our analysis indicates that while managed bee populations in Asia and Africa are likely to grow, North America may face further declines unless significant conservation efforts are implemented.

Key factors influencing these projections include:

A Call for a Balanced Perspective

The idea of a global bee population collapse is not entirely accurate. While some regions are experiencing alarming losses, others are seeing increases, demonstrating that proactive measures can lead to positive outcomes. To truly understand these trends, we need a data-driven and region-specific approach rather than relying on generalized predictions of doom and gloom.

If regions facing declines adopt stronger conservation policies and sustainable farming practices, they could stabilize and even boost their bee populations in the years ahead. At the same time, countries with growing bee populations must stay alert to emerging threats to protect their achievements.

Bees play a crucial role in global food security and biodiversity, and their future hinges on our capacity to adapt, innovate, and safeguard their habitats. Instead of concentrating solely on declines, we should also examine and replicate the success stories of thriving bee populations around the globe.

Data for the graphs in this article was retrieved from FAOstat.